从气候振动的某些准周期看天体引潮力对天气气候的影响

STUDIES ON THE INFLUENCE OF TIDE-GENERATING FORCES OF CELESTIAL BODIES ON WEATHER-CLIMATE FROM THE FACTORS OF SOME QUASI-PERIOD CLIMATIC OSCILLATIONS

摘要:

本文指出,实际資料分析所揭示的气候振动准37年和准2年等周期可以从月亮相对于地球、太阳运行的准周期规律性来解释。作为这种观点的应用,文中选择了某些参数来表示月亮运行轨道的特点,并由此给出了长江中下游汛期降水量和赤道附近高空23公里附近东西风方向转换日期的超长期预报方法。結果与实际基本符合。

Abstract:

It is indicated in this paper that quasi-37-year, quasi-2-year and some other quasi-periodic climatic oscillations revealed from the analy sis of observational data can be explained by means of quasi-periodic regularity of the Moon’s motion relative to the Earth and the Sun. As an application of this viewpoint, some characteristic parameters are selected for the trajectory of the Moon’s motion and hence several methods are presented for the superlong-range prediction of the rainfall amount in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River during the rainy season and of the transitional date for the east-west wind direction at the height of 23 km near the equator. The results obtained quite coincide with the reality.