海气耦合环流模式及耦合技术的研究

Review of study on air-sea coupled models and coupling method

摘要:

介绍了近年来国内外海气耦合环流模式的研究、发展趋势,对不同模式的耦合技术及其预报试验进行了综合分析,从ENSO预测与耦合环流模式的组成分类、模式的气候漂移及其处理技术(耦合方案)的特点、模式的季节、年际、年代际预报能力等方面评述了当前海气耦合环流模式的研究进展和影响耦合模式预报能力的有关问题,指出目前发展海气耦合模式的难点所在,并就我国现状提出了进行针对性研究的具体想法。

Abstract:

In this paper,we introduce the trend of research and progress in air-sea couple d model(ASCM) in at home and aboard recently,and synthetically analyze the coup ling schemes and forecasting experiments for different coupled models.Meanwhile ,the development of ASCM and the relative problem influencing the ASCM forecast ability are investigated in this aspects such as ENSO prediction ability,the com posite and classification,the climate drift,the characteristics of coupling sche me,and seasonal,annual and decadal prediction ability,and so on.Reviewed in the paper are the research advance and development of the air-sea coupled models(ASCM) in recent years with their coupling schemes and forecasting experiments anal ysed.Comments are also made on the ENSO prediction,ASCM classification,climate frift,coupling schemes and models' prediction to seasonal,interannual and interde cadal variation.